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April Surprise Lifts FY 2025 Revenue, But Outyear Forecast Holds Steady

The District of Columbia’s June revenue estimate raised the FY 2025 forecast by $243.7 million, following an unexpected surge in April tax payments from corporations and high-income individuals—an "April Surprise" driven by strong capital gains and profits related to tax year 2024. As this boost is considered one-time in nature and the broader economic outlook has not shifted since February, projections for FY 2026 through FY 2029 remain unchanged.

Federal Downsizing and Unemployment: What the Data Shows for the District's Future

The federal government has embarked on a major downsizing of the federal workforce, which has significant ramifications for the District of Columbia's (District) economy and finances. Our office’s recent revenue estimate reflects the impact of the downsizing on the District's revenue, forecasting a loss of 40,000 federal jobs and a total of 32,000 jobs in the District over the next four years.

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