Our office recently released the latest quarterly revenue estimate for the District of Columbia Budget and Financial Plan for the fiscal years 2023 to 2027. The revenue estimate for the fiscal years 2024 to 2027 is unchanged from September 2023. However, the revenue estimate for the fiscal year 2023 has been revised upwards by $82.9 million due to one-time payments and year-end accounting adjustments. Although the District's economic outlook remains stable and recent population growth is consistent with the previous revenue estimate, there are potential risks that could affect the District's economic and fiscal outlook. These risks include a potential federal government shutdown, WMATA's budget shortfall, high interest rates, geopolitical risks such as the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and Monumental Sports' announcement of potentially moving the home arena of the Washington Capitals and Washington Wizards.
| Local Source, General Fund Revenue Estimate ($M) | Actual FY 2022 |
Preliminary Actual FY 2023 |
Estimated FY 2024 |
Projected FY 2025 |
Projected FY 2026 |
Projected FY 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2023 Revenue Estimate | 9,886.8 | 9,890.8 | 9,909.7 | 10,190.0 | 10,393.4 | 10,667.3 |
| December Revision to the Estimate | 82.9 | - | - | - | - | |
| December 2023 Revenue Estimate | 9,886.8 | 9,973.7 | 9,909.7 | 10,190.0 | 10,393.4 | 10,667.3 |
| Revenue Change From Previous Year | ||||||
| Amount | 86.9 | (64.0) | 280.3 | 203.4 | 273.9 | |
| Year-Over-Year Percent Change | 13.3% | 0.9% | -0.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% |